I really thought there would be a surge in their vote share but its not happening

I did read some stats the other day that typically the Tories do up to 5% better on election day than in the polls because people are less likely to admit to voting Tory in opinion polls. Similarly the eventual labour vote is often 2-3% less that in the polls. If both of those swings happened I suppose it would make a big difference but can;t see it.

The ironic thing is the number of people saying they will vote UKIP so they get a referendum thus weakening the conservatives and making it far less likely they will get a referendum!

Posted By: Jim, Apr 27, 15:23:17