yet the betting market has Norwich and Bournie as favs.....

Boro 4th favs....

The kind of analysis in that article is the exact reason why the average Joe has zero chance of beating sports betting.

Whil its obvious its close, to ignore the actual games to be played and the quality of opposition in the run in........is frankly laughable.

Most people who bet overvalue the loss of a star player in any one game.

Those who understand these things know about replacement value.
In simple terms a player you bring in might not be as good......but he may be 70-90% as good meaning the overall effect of losing the star player on the overall result is often pretty small.

Posted By: usacanary, Mar 13, 12:48:36