assuming there's a 25% chance of a draw

and of the remaining 75%, it's random whether you win or lose.

Then you have a 37.5% chance of winning any game in particular, and a 62.5% chance of not winning.

Then the chances of not winning 11 (opening) games in a row is 0.625^11, = 0.0057, = approx 1 in 175.

Posted By: Tricky Hawes, Aug 6, 13:53:03