OK, heres something special.......

I ran a computer simulation of the bottom 5 clubs as its likley 3 from 5 to see what the predicted points would be based on the difficulty of the 11 games remaining (strength of schedule)

User Posted Link

Here are the bottom 5 based on computer predicted points.

Southampton 38.1
Aston Villa 34.8
wigan 33.3
Reading 32.5
QPR 27.3

or rounded

Southampton 38
Aston Villa 35
wigan 33
Reading 33
QPR 27

It looks like it will only take 34-35 points to stay up this season

Posted By: usacanary, Feb 25, 00:37:09