I ran some computer simulations based on the remaining 15 games.

H Spurs
A QPR
H Fulham
H Everton
A Man Utd
H Southapton
A Sunderland
A wigan
H Swansea
A Arsenal
H Reading
A Stoke
H Aston Villa
H WBA
A Man City

Each game was ran as played today based on W/L/D proabilities

I came up with the following results.

H Spurs 0.9
A QPR 1.2
H Fulham 1.3
H Everton 1
A Man Utd 0.4
H Southapton 1.3
A Sunderland 1
A wigan 1.2
H Swansea 1.2
A Arsenal 0.6
H Reading 1.5
A Stoke 0.9
H Aston Villa 1.4
H WBA 1.2
A Man City 0.4

Giving a total of 15.5 points finishing on 42 points (41.5)

This is actually counter intuitive to the fact that we have some easier games ahead.
Its less than the TOT predictions

Posted By: usacanary, Jan 20, 19:12:29