Our realistic rivals for relegation

Here are the current relegation odds

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The three obvious choices are QPR, Swansea and Wigan

Wolves dont look to have improved too much so look likley to be in the bottom 6 most of the season

Blackburn look very shaky allround especially if the sell players like Samba before the window closes.

Newcastles odds have been tumbling for obvious reasons, some think they will struggle after losing so much quality in the last year.
Could be this years West Ham.

WBA, Hodgson has looked a bit worried in recent interviews about the lack of firepower and how much the rely on peter odemwingie for the goals.

Sunderland have made wholesale changes, bit of an unknown quantity, the market doesnt think they will go down.

Fulham, in my opinion have over achieved the past few years (so have Norwich FWIW)
Might be their year to struggle in the bottom half but I do think they have a lot of experience and quality.
The Europa thing may hurt them a bit though as it makes it a very long season.

Bolton, Not convinced with what they have brought in, cant see them finishing in the top half of the table.

Stoke, have been spending and bidding on players. I think they have a bit too much quality and muscle to be in the bottom 3 this season.

Here are my picks for a couple of big outsiders

Aston Villa, can be had for as much as 21 to 1
The price looks too high when you consider they struggled a bit last season WITH Young and Downing.
They needed Bent last season.

The betting market has them as a top 8 club
I just dont get that at all.
I think they are 10-12th at best so I would rate their odds at around 10 to 1 to get relegated.

Everton as much as 41 to 1 at some places.
Has started badly for the past few years.
Could be more vunerable than ever as rumours abound of selling players and no money to spend.
If they have a bad run of injuries (and no money to replace them) they could struggle a bit.
I think a more realistic price is closer to 20-1 to get relegated

Posted By: usacanary, Aug 8, 16:01:23