Norwich has a big promotion advantage going into the last 7 games.

As we hit the last 7 games of the season Norwich are in an interesting postion as they hope to win the 2nd automatic spot.

Although it appears mathamatically that teams in the top 10 still have a shot at getting the 2nd spot, realistically this just isnt the case.

The problem for most of those teams is based on the added factor of the playoff places.

A lot of teams are not looking to chase down Norwich. Over the last few games they will often be in situations where they will be looking to consolidate their position.
They will often play for a result (draw) or maybe even be in the position where as long as they dont concede a s**tload of goals they will make the playoffs (GD)

You could actually translate this factor into the same reasons QPR wont be caught.

This might be a poor example with PL as our manager but if we find ourselves drawing late on against Swansea.......

The value of winning is not as big as the value of losing when you factor in our points advantage and our GD advantage with 6 games remaining.

It should be obvious that although the points diff and GD between Norwich and Swansea would stay the same after a draw.........Our advantage would increase with less possible points to play for.

It still looks like it will take around 83 points for 2nd and 75 points for a playoff place.

If we beat Swansea the number of points needed for 2nd place will actually drop

(i.e. number of points needed to be above the 3rd place team)

OTBC.

Posted By: usacanary, Apr 5, 02:24:18