first, rain now isn't expected until after close today.
second, they only need to match our score to be favourites, given they have warne. which they should be able to do by some time after lunch tomorrow.
assuming (optimistically) they get no more than that, then it's essentially a one-innings match, with more than two days, on a wearing pitch, and they have warne.
even if they don't get any first innings lead at all, they're still favourites. And a draw is the least likely result.
Posted By: Tricky Hawes, Sep 9, 12:43:19
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