Most bookies have average/poor models for various sports.

They often rely on the sharper market place to shape their lines.
But they do have high vig which takes care of most of the bigger errors!
(Most online bookies such as Bet 365 and William Hill will not let me bet with them FWIW)

With the playoff picture you could start with direct assumptions if you wanted an exact figure.

(1) Norwich lose every game from now on.

(2) All of the 6 teams below us win EVERY game not involved with playing each other.

That would give you the following

LEEDS 95
CHARLTON 87
COLCHESTER 89
SWINDON 90
MILLWALL 80
HUDDERSFIELD 82

To those totals you have 11 fixtures that would add in between 22 and 33 points (draw 2 points, win 3 points)

We have not clinched a play off place yet on Earth 2 where such an incredible senario is possible.

Posted By: usacanary, Mar 7, 20:06:10