If you parlay all 5 games you would make more

Bookies odds are often worse than the true probability (shocker I know)

Thats how you work out the true odds of winning all 5 games.
You break down the probability of winning each game into odds then parlay each one into the next.
The math is pretty easy as we would need to win all 5 games.
Then factor in that we could win all 5 games and 6 teams would Finish on 74 or higher.

Posted By: usacanary on April 6th 2026 at 21:01:50

Message Thread

OK so what if we won the next 5 games.... (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 6, 20:41:51
- Usefully, we do play Derby and Hull in those games (NCFC) - APB, Apr 6, 23:07:38
- I think we would finish 8th, which I think is our best finish (NCFC) - Legacy Fan, Apr 6, 21:22:02
  - IMHO if we win the next 5 games there is an 80% chance we finish 7th or above. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 6, 21:48:57
    - Hmm (NCFC) - Legacy Fan, Apr 6, 22:17:13
- I think we’ll rue those two points. Think we’ll go into hull 4/5 behind them (n/m) (NCFC) - Ulf jr, Apr 6, 21:21:59
  - We focus on those two, but as SOS says below, it was the massive amount we dropped early (NCFC) - Legacy Fan, Apr 6, 21:22:45
    - Yeah definitely, just annoying as we should’ve won (n/m) (NCFC) - Ulf jr, Apr 6, 21:27:09
- Around 40/1 for top 6 (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 6, 20:52:14
  - If you parlay all 5 games you would make more (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 6, 21:01:50
    - Would be a chance with 13 points however (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 6, 21:22:27
      - such a small probability given the current standings. (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 6, 21:47:25
  - Yeah I think 40-1 is short (n/m) (NCFC) - Legacy Fan, Apr 6, 21:00:42
- This is why I was pi***d off after Pompey (n/m) (NCFC) - Jim, Apr 6, 20:51:30
  - No team can play at their best every game (NCFC) - strap_on sally, Apr 6, 21:02:39
    - 5? It was at least 7 (n/m) (NCFC) - Legacy Fan, Apr 6, 21:06:33
      - I’ve blanked those games out of my brain (n/m) (NCFC) - strap_on sally, Apr 6, 21:51:26
  - You said it was "unacceptably bad" (NCFC) - norwaay, Apr 6, 20:57:51
  - I wasn’t (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 6, 20:54:23
    - Personally, I was livid (n/m) (NCFC) - phrankin, Apr 6, 21:03:53
    - Im sure you were rage throbbing.... (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 6, 21:02:49

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