The market is pricing in the risk of a serious points deduction

6 points would put them right in it. 12 or 18 and they would be very seriously in trouble.

I think it will be 6-9 but who knows.

Shef Utd are underperforming but it’s like when ManUre or Everton flirt with the prem drop zone you always know they will get out of it and someone like Burnley won’t…..

Probably Leicester will escape and fine will be small but non-zero risk and especially if late in day may not be much time to turn things around.

I don’t think the gap in betting should be as big as it is but can see why it’s thete

Posted By: matgore on January 27th 2026 at 05:02:26


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