Well PromoViz does suggest that we have a 21.5% chance of winning at Home Park.

However, it shows a 61% chance that our Xg will be less than 1.0. If you add that to Plymouth’s anticipated Xg is given as 73% chance of being greater than 1.0 it indicates that their win likelihood of 49% is not an unreasonable conclusion.

Posted By: Boyer on September 21st 2023 at 14:09:09


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