Again you don't understand what you are talking about.

Not a shocker.

I used Messi as an extreme example of why xG is not a true measure of performance of a team or individual.
The fact you ignored all the relevant points is not surprising.

You have to be smart to grasp these concepts.

What you should be more worried about is why the xG of all games does not add up to all goals scored.
As an example the xG of all penalties is very close to reality because they are just using the known data for a fixed event.
It's the same position/chance.
Outside of that the correlation is much worse.

If each probability of a chance was accurate it would be very close over a large sample.
It isn't....

Posted By: usacanary on September 1st 2023 at 19:52:17


Message Thread


Reply to Message

In order to add a post to the WotB Message Board you must be a registered WotB user.

If you are not yet registered then please visit the registration page. You should ensure that their browser is setup to accept cookies.

Log in