You wrote this for a start

‘Lionel Messi has “outperformed” his xG prediction throughout his whole career.
That's a hell of a sample size to be lucky’

It might be because he’s one of the best players ever and not luck. Radical I know! And ‘his xG prediction’ isn’t a personal prediction for him in case you’re confused. It’s just how the chance is rated.

Posted By: SCC 28 on June 1st 2023 at 19:18:20

Message Thread

Do you people realize how great I am....... (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 18:05:09
- When I read posts like this I read them in a Billy Joel voice (General Chat) - Old Git, Jun 1, 22:44:18
- This is laughably tedious (n/m) (General Chat) - Boyer, Jun 1, 22:25:13
- ??? (n/m) (General Chat) - Bristol Graham, Jun 1, 19:04:39
  - ???? (n/m) (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 19:10:58
- An example of how great I am.... (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 18:49:18
- It's strange (General Chat) - Kev, Jun 1, 18:46:58
- This really wasn't that great was it? (General Chat) - Knitted Jesus, Jun 1, 18:37:36
  - VMT was a VERY awkward read (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 18:45:29
    - This is you Mikey. (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 18:55:09
      - Is it me cringing while reading your essay? (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 18:57:33
        
        Feel free to explain what was incorrect or just admit you don't understand it. (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 19:01:36
        
        You wrote this for a start (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 19:18:20
        
        God, you are so stupid you don't even realize you are making my point for me. (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 19:35:19
        
        But that isn’t a point, it’s transparently what xG is (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 19:40:57
        
        Its expected goals yet you don't get the goals expected..... (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 19:47:05
        
        stop embarrassing ourself. (n/m) (General Chat) - fal5taff, Jun 1, 21:08:12
        
        Is this some kind of Engrish... (n/m) (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 21:13:07
        
        you have been on the Bud Light.. (n/m) (General Chat) - fal5taff, Jun 1, 21:29:12
        
        Messi certainly won’t because he’s so good (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 19:57:27
        
        So expected goals should be...... (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 21:02:11
        
        Nobody has their own xG (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 21:07:49
        
        Good players will outperform (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 21:15:08
        
        Again you are agreeing with me but don't understand why. (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 21:19:31
        
        Surely the actual table is a better indicator of performance...... (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 21:14:57
        
        Yeah I prefer the league table too (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 21:32:00
  - So explain why xG overestimates actual goals scored every season? (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 18:44:42
    - Poor finishing/great keeping (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 20:03:55
      - So every season this happens with no adjustment.... (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 20:49:34
        
        If we sign players outperforming their xG (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 20:54:07
        
        Ok so if we agree that xG ignores player/team quality then.... (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 20:58:03
        
        Not good enough at finishing yes (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 21:00:30
        
        But every bottom team in the PL has an overestimated xG (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 21:05:14
        
        I look forward to your continued blubbing about it (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 21:14:06
        
        You are the one promoting nonsense..... (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 21:15:57
        
        ‘Promoting’ 🤣 (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jun 1, 21:31:22
  - I think you just made my point. (General Chat) - usacanary, Jun 1, 18:42:08

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