The subtle realities are that often you can be right and fail.
You make decisions based on the best information you have at the time you make them.
Simple example, two people make a bet on the flip of a coin.
If you win the other guy pays you 2 pounds
If you lose you pay the other guy 1 pound
Lets say you flip once and lose.... is it a bad bet?
The stupid person will tell you its a bad bet because it lost.
The smart person will tell you its a great bet with a huge edge. Keep making good bets and you will 100% come out ahead in the long run with lots of variance (ups and downs)
Posted By: usacanary on May 2nd 2022 at 16:27:22
Message Thread
- Nicely brought into a new day (NCFC) - Old Git, May 2, 07:49:49
- It's a howl of frustration which we can all identify with (NCFC) - Cardiff Canary, May 2, 10:46:01
- Sometimes things don't pan out (NCFC) - paulg, May 2, 12:10:58
- I also don't think it mentions Farke (NCFC) - seminated_woolly, May 2, 09:24:12
- Oh god yes, this. Imagine if we actually had given Daniel what he wanted (NCFC) - Under soil heating, May 2, 09:42:50
- We could have still been relegated. (NCFC) - usacanary, May 2, 16:12:50
- Oh god yes, this. Imagine if we actually had given Daniel what he wanted (NCFC) - Under soil heating, May 2, 09:42:50
- that is an exceptional post (n/m) (NCFC) - shoddy, May 2, 08:56:01
- While USHs post is pretty spot on, the one thing not mentioned (NCFC) - Cellophane Flowers, May 2, 08:27:57
- exactly, 100% hindsight (NCFC) - usacanary, May 2, 14:23:44
- Brentford’s record with Ajer playing this season is extremely good (NCFC) - Jim, May 2, 08:55:34
- This is a very fair point. There is some whatifery in my post. (NCFC) - Under soil heating, May 2, 08:49:06
- Oh, and looks like Ajer has been important for Brentford (NCFC) - Under soil heating, May 2, 08:55:53
- Permanent v loan- massive point (NCFC) - paulg, May 2, 08:53:44
- 4 loan signings seems mental I guess we aren’t stuck with them … (NCFC) - loz, May 2, 08:29:00
- An excellent post and why Webber can f**k off. A massive and utter failing on his part (n/m) (NCFC) - Jim, May 2, 08:08:41
- 100% (n/m) (NCFC) - munter, May 2, 08:24:17
- Will be interesting to see if he comes out to defend it. (NCFC) - lurd, May 2, 08:15:08
- The subtle realities are that often you can be right and fail. (NCFC) - usacanary, May 2, 16:27:22
- The fact Baileys written it suggests to me he thinks Webber is off as (NCFC) - Jim, May 2, 08:47:51
- And he said he’d given Farke a gun (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 2, 08:18:37
- We spent a lot of money and bought in a ton of players. (NCFC) - usacanary, May 2, 16:32:22
- Used it to shoot farke instead (n/m) (NCFC) - paulg, May 2, 08:40:45
- In the back (n/m) (NCFC) - ChampsChamps2023, May 2, 11:42:43
- Sargeant’s first touch is a bombscare 🤷🏻♂️ (n/m) (NCFC) - lurd, May 2, 08:21:28
- ^ trigger warning (NCFC) - CWC, May 2, 08:01:53
- Titrate downwards. (n/m) (NCFC) - protheroe fitzgibbon, May 2, 08:14:53
- It's a howl of frustration which we can all identify with (NCFC) - Cardiff Canary, May 2, 10:46:01
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