the article shows up xG for being meaningless

Sargent's miss was rated as 14% likelihood of a goal
Pukki's missed dink at the River End was rated 42%

Posted By: Henclrikus on October 18th 2021 at 17:27:41

Message Thread

Good diagrams in this MJB article showing the difference (NCFC) - jamesward, Oct 18, 17:17:45
- Why does our formation get described as 3-5-2? I see a flat back 5 mostly (n/m) (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Oct 18, 21:45:16
- I can't read read the article but I remember thinking that Brighton played like we used to (NCFC) - Bravo win or die, Oct 18, 18:18:59
  - Yes, although they were nowhere near as fluid as they usually are (NCFC) - jamesward, Oct 18, 18:24:41
    - First half of the first half they seemed really fluid and we by contrast could not even (NCFC) - Bravo win or die, Oct 18, 18:29:08
      - Yeah, we were pretty negative at the start before coming out of our shell a bit more (NCFC) - jamesward, Oct 18, 18:30:45
    - Amuses me (NCFC) - paulg, Oct 18, 18:28:33
      - Yes it did help that we were so defensive (NCFC) - SCC 28, Oct 18, 18:41:06
- Oooh they upgraded the Sargent sitter by 2% (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Oct 18, 17:29:13
  - Should be 80%, if not higher (NCFC) - jamesward, Oct 18, 18:01:37
    - Yep I had it at over 90% (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Oct 18, 18:39:30
- the article shows up xG for being meaningless (NCFC) - Henclrikus, Oct 18, 17:27:41
  - Spurious exactitude (NCFC) - paulg, Oct 18, 18:13:44
    - Mathematics >words (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Oct 18, 18:40:08
      - Rather depends on the context ... (NCFC) - paulg, Oct 18, 18:44:33
        
        2b - 2b = ? (n/m) (NCFC) - jamesward, Oct 18, 21:05:32
        
        Ha! Not bad at all .. tho still a way to go (n/m) (NCFC) - paulg, Oct 18, 22:48:56
  - Certainly a huge error by the xG people (NCFC) - SCC 28, Oct 18, 17:34:20
- How long was it rigid for,bearing in mind our previous habit of shipping lots (NCFC) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Oct 18, 17:24:32
  - Only in the context of this game (NCFC) - jamesward, Oct 18, 18:00:15
- Decent as it says though they’ve had 3 years to tune up theirs (n/m) (NCFC) - loz, Oct 18, 17:23:24
  - Indeed. It was certainly very disciplined and solid (n/m) (NCFC) - jamesward, Oct 18, 18:00:29

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