It will be really interesting to see where their figures level off

Vaccine hesitancy is relatively high in those countries. Most developed countries will get to a point where they have vaccinated everyone that wants a vaccine relatively soon. The issue will then be to try to urge the remainder to accept vaccination.

To oversimplify, vaccines reduce transmission by around 65% and deaths by circa 99%. Vaccinate 100% population and you get a factor of 3 reduction in R number and a factor of 100 reduction in deaths. Combined factor 300. Vaccinate 50% population and you get a factor of 1.5 reduction in R number and a factor of 2 reduction in deaths. Combined factor 3. You can see how important the 'anti-vax' proportion is in transition out of the pandemic.

Posted By: Timmy_Goat on May 6th 2021 at 13:35:16

Message Thread

PM shoddy (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, May 6, 10:50:18
- yes they are getting there. hopefully get a jab soon (n/m) (Coronavirus) - shoddy, May 6, 14:36:42
- Daily doses climbing at last but still a very long way behind (Coronavirus) - Old Git, May 6, 11:43:41
  - Hungary and Serbia doing well (Coronavirus) - paulg, May 6, 12:23:24
    - It will be really interesting to see where their figures level off (Coronavirus) - Timmy_Goat, May 6, 13:35:16
      - And it'll depend on which are groups vaccinate (Coronavirus) - paulg, May 6, 14:23:11
  - Just means we’ll complete it first (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, May 6, 11:49:19
    - Yes. (Coronavirus) - Old Git, May 6, 12:01:15

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