Rest assured, the chasing pack will lose games

We won't see it coming, but it will happen.

Think Brentford against Barnsley / QPR / Coventry. Swansea at Huddersfield and Bristol City. Watford v QPR.

And back in the previous promotion run in, Leeds v Wigan, Birmingham and QPR.

One team will probably keep going strong, and I think that will be Watford, and they might make it to 90 points.

To hit 90 points, each team needs the following:

Watford: 24 points from 11 games. Tough given their run in, but not unachievable given the quality of their squad

Swansea: 25 points from 13 games. The next 4 games are massive for them - Blackburn away, Luton away, Bournemouth away, Cardiff at home. If they get 2 points per game from that lot, they'll need a further 17 points from 9 games, and their fixtures look favourable until they play Watford on the final day.

Brentford: 27 points from 12 games. Looking at their fixtures, they could do it, but I think they probably (almost certainly) won't. They're coming off a poor run and the pressure is on, they can't afford any slip ups, and that's a tough place to be.

Favourites at the moment have got to be Swansea, although they look a bit ropey they keep on grinding the results out. One of two things is going to happen, either their luck catches up with them and they fall away, or they improve performances and the results keep coming. Their run in looks a bit easier than Watford's, but I think it will be Watford that finish 2nd.

Posted By: SimonOTBC on March 9th 2021 at 11:09:59

Message Thread

Come on Blackburn (n/m) (NCFC) - loz, Mar 9, 07:02:42
- Harvey Elliott on a season loan would be decent replacement for Emi (n/m) (NCFC) - pab, Mar 9, 10:42:15
  - Absolutely no replacement. Not in the same league. (n/m) (NCFC) - APB, Mar 9, 18:10:21
  - I'd see if we could get David Brooks from Bournemouth if they don't go up (NCFC) - Trent_Canary, Mar 9, 12:39:51
    - He's a talent, but a bit lightweight and seems injury prone. (n/m) (NCFC) - derbyshire canary, Mar 9, 14:37:20
  - Isn't he more of a wide man? (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Mar 9, 10:47:25
    - Not sure he'd have the defensive discipline Farke requires (NCFC) - jamesward, Mar 9, 12:06:51
- I'm feeling increasingly confident that (NCFC) - Captain Bligh, Mar 9, 07:10:31
  - I don;t think we will get caught but i'd like them to slip up to take the pressure off (NCFC) - Jim, Mar 9, 10:43:05
    - It's funny how when you have a 10 point lead... (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Mar 9, 10:48:31
      - especially as we weren't even top a few weeks ago (n/m) (NCFC) - jamesward, Mar 9, 11:09:41
        
        It's still 10 points above the playoff spots, regardless. (n/m) (NCFC) - lurd, Mar 9, 11:50:53
        
        Exactly. (n/m) (NCFC) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Mar 9, 12:13:44
        
        Indeed (n/m) (NCFC) - jamesward, Mar 9, 11:51:34
        
        Finishing second would require some major bottling now though and would feel awful (n/m) (NCFC) - lurd, Mar 9, 11:59:33
  - Regardless, we must all be praying for a Blackburn win as nothing is guaranteed. (n/m) (NCFC) - Biggles, Mar 9, 08:55:53
    - We are too greedy to be caught (NCFC) - Tier2canary, Mar 9, 10:16:59
      - So you’d like a Swansea win tonight. I’ll bear that in mind. (n/m) (NCFC) - Biggles, Mar 9, 10:28:18
    - Language Timothy (n/m) (NCFC) - Biggles, Mar 9, 10:09:56
    - Don't be so fucking soft. We need the pressure. (n/m) (NCFC) - trafford_canary, Mar 9, 09:16:09
      - ^^secretly terrified we'll blow it^^ 😁 (n/m) (NCFC) - Captain Bligh, Mar 9, 09:26:20
  - It matters when we are crowned champions (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Mar 9, 07:11:49
    - That's sort of my point. (n/m) (NCFC) - Captain Bligh, Mar 9, 07:15:13
      - Rest assured, the chasing pack will lose games (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Mar 9, 11:09:59
      - I still have that worry character flaw I guess ... (NCFC) - loz, Mar 9, 07:16:08
        
        Its not a flaw Loz, its being a Norwich fan. Until DF we had (NCFC) - Chopper, Mar 9, 08:59:05
        
        I'd say we're pretty ruthless when it comes to taking promotion opportunities (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 9, 09:57:52
        
        If we get promoted, I believe we will be 👍 (n/m) (NCFC) - helvegtheowl, Mar 9, 10:32:16
        
        I don’t remember a time when we bottled promotion (NCFC) - jamesward, Mar 9, 10:02:30
        
        Correct - if we're in a promotion battle we go up, if we're in a relegation battle (NCFC) - norwaay, Mar 9, 11:25:32
        
        Don’t forget the Lambert period where we always played to the bitter end and the Alex (NCFC) - Augustus Pablo, Mar 9, 09:12:01
        
        We've never been this relentlessly efficient in my lifetime (NCFC) - Captain Bligh, Mar 9, 07:21:53
        
        I had a quick peek at the wroth from two years ago when we drew four (NCFC) - Bravo win or die, Mar 9, 08:06:01
        
        Yep. Totally. It's the fact I don't feel too concerned that concerns me. (NCFC) - Captain Bligh, Mar 9, 08:57:08
        
        watch that Aarons interview its clear the team wants time on the beach - get it done early (n/m) (NCFC) - pinkney, Mar 9, 09:38:15
        
        I worry if we’re 2 up with a few minutes left (NCFC) - SCC 28, Mar 9, 07:19:03
        
        The first 3 at home (NCFC) - SCC 28, Mar 9, 09:47:29
        
        Not so nice run in: B'mouth, Watford, Reading, Barnsley. (NCFC) - canary_wharf, Mar 9, 09:40:17
- Hopefully kick on from their win at Millwall (NCFC) - SCC 28, Mar 9, 07:05:54

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