...
The US economic collapse could only occur if there was a sudden switch to euros amongst almost all oil producing countries, yet this would more likely be a gradual process. Markets prefer stability, having oil traded in two currencies adds uncertainty where previously there was none. Also there are no guaranteed economic benefits to any country that switches.
Even if all of the oil producing countries decided that they hated the USA so much that they'd be willing to switch, the impact may not even be that big. The benefits to the USA of having the dollar as a big reserve currency are ridiculously small - something like 0.5% of US GDP. If the euro became the reserve currency of choice and the dollar sunk then US goods would become dirt cheap to foreigners and this would easily offset any losses.
I'm certain there's some sinister, hidden reason why the US invaded Iraq but I'm not convinced by the petro-dollar theories.
Posted By: pat_abb on April 13th 2006 at 01:08:20
Message Thread
- Right - who wants Robert Newman's History of Oil ? (n/m) (General Chat) - Arganth, Apr 12, 22:06:57
- I watched it... (General Chat) - Small, Apr 13, 00:04:42
- yeh I watched it... (General Chat) - pat_abb, Apr 12, 22:16:38
- Which ones were you not convinced about ? (n/m) (General Chat) - Arganth, Apr 12, 22:18:10
- I thought that... (General Chat) - pat_abb, Apr 12, 22:50:15
- ... (General Chat) - pat_abb, Apr 13, 01:08:20
- Please expand... (General Chat) - Small, Apr 13, 00:17:49
- I thought that... (General Chat) - pat_abb, Apr 12, 22:50:15
- Which ones were you not convinced about ? (n/m) (General Chat) - Arganth, Apr 12, 22:18:10
- Agh! Completely forgot about that! (General Chat) - Ottosson Foxtrot, Apr 12, 22:13:10
- Yeah - very similar to the show with Mark Thomas. (General Chat) - Arganth, Apr 12, 22:15:05
- I'd really appreciate that - cheers. (General Chat) - Ottosson Foxtrot, Apr 12, 22:18:11
- Nae probs. Like I said, I just need to work out how to ! (n/m) (General Chat) - Arganth, Apr 12, 22:19:38
- I'd really appreciate that - cheers. (General Chat) - Ottosson Foxtrot, Apr 12, 22:18:11
- Yeah - very similar to the show with Mark Thomas. (General Chat) - Arganth, Apr 12, 22:15:05
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