Easter IMHO

19 million doses of AZ vaccine in the UK today. 15 million in bulk storage. 4 million in vials. 500k vials passed quality control and going into arms. 3.5 million going through quality control.

AZ aiming for 2 million doses per week. 12 week gap between doses. 24 million doses in 12 weeks? 43 million total? Call it 31 million. How many Brits over 40? 31 million. How many of covid deaths occur in over 40s? 99%

One AZ shot not equal to full protection. One AZ likely equal enough protection that you don't die if you get covid. That is the rationale behind the timing of doses.

My view is that once those at risk get their first jab, the fatality rate will drop markedly. How many have UK vaccinated so far? 1 million as of last week. We are doing really well. It comes down to how quickly can we get vaccine into arms.

My guess is we are pretty much over this at Easter.

Posted By: Timmy_Goat on January 4th 2021 at 22:02:37

Message Thread

Realistically, this lockdown is going to be here until Spring, isn’t it? (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SimonOTBC, Jan 4, 20:44:56
- Easter IMHO (Coronavirus) - Timmy_Goat, Jan 4, 22:02:37
  - I’m appointing you Minister for Positivity (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Jan 4, 22:24:31
    - vmt (Coronavirus) - Chris Peacock, Jan 4, 22:51:33
    - Thanks. (Coronavirus) - Timmy_Goat, Jan 4, 22:48:46
  - That would be ok I think. (n/m) (Coronavirus) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jan 4, 22:16:03
- My guess 6 months reopen July like 2020 (n/m) (Coronavirus) - KevinBond, Jan 4, 21:04:00
- You should consider yourself lucky (Coronavirus) - shoddy, Jan 4, 20:50:23
  - But England is the worst at everything surely? (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Jan 4, 22:25:00
  - FFS (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SimonOTBC, Jan 4, 20:51:49
- Or early summer (Coronavirus) - CWC, Jan 4, 20:50:13
  - That’s what I think (Coronavirus) - SimonOTBC, Jan 4, 20:51:37
    - Well we could (Coronavirus) - CWC, Jan 4, 20:53:50
      - Depends how the vaccine rollout goes, doesn’t it? (Coronavirus) - SimonOTBC, Jan 4, 20:55:16
        
        You're also incredibly unlikely to die from it (Coronavirus) - CWC, Jan 4, 21:05:08
        
        This (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Jan 4, 22:25:29
        
        Is that wholly true though? (Coronavirus) - SimonOTBC, Jan 4, 21:24:51
        
        It’s also a bit harsh given we have to go to work and many have kids who will be in school (Coronavirus) - Jim, Jan 4, 21:48:29
    - How the fuck can we afford that? I assume they could prioritize shielding workers (Coronavirus) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jan 4, 20:53:46
      - I don’t think the restrictions will be as broad (Coronavirus) - SimonOTBC, Jan 4, 20:54:33
- Do bubbles still exist? (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Lentil Weaver, Jan 4, 20:50:08
  - Yep (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SimonOTBC, Jan 4, 20:52:00
    - Phew (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Lentil Weaver, Jan 4, 20:52:30
      - Nothing changes to me then. All I've done since march is (Coronavirus) - Lentil Weaver, Jan 4, 20:53:47
- Aye lad (n/m) (Coronavirus) - colincanary, Jan 4, 20:49:23
- Yep (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 4, 20:47:33
  - And.... (Coronavirus) - SimonOTBC, Jan 4, 20:50:45
    - That vaccine rollout (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 4, 20:56:15
      - Indeed (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SimonOTBC, Jan 4, 20:57:29
- Will partly depend on success of vaccine roll out I guess (n/m) (Coronavirus) - loz, Jan 4, 20:46:34
  - Fuck - you think it might be Autumn? (Coronavirus) - SimonOTBC, Jan 4, 20:48:06
- It’s going to be the same as 2020 (Coronavirus) - Super_stuie_webber, Jan 4, 20:45:59

Reply to Message

In order to add a post to the WotB Message Board you must be a registered WotB user.

If you are not yet registered then please visit the registration page. You should ensure that their browser is setup to accept cookies.