Small sample size but interesting none the less.

A random sample in NY of 3000 people found around 15% of people had the anti-bodies (meaning they have had it)

If we do some rough numbers of 330M in the US and currently 50K deaths. Assuming 15% = ~50M which leave us a mortality rate of around 0.1%

To be totally fair the sample size is small and was done in an area with dense populations compared to the rest of the country.
I think we are looking at a mortality rate of 0.1-0.5% IMHO.

Just for interest lets assume 15% is roughly the same for the UK. With 19K deaths and 10.5M (15% of 67M) infected we get to a 0.18% mortality rate.
Pretty much in line with the US.

Italy has a population of 60 M so doing the quick math using the 15% figure we get a mortality rate of 0.27%

France which has an almost identical population to the UK is at 0.2%
Germany is a bit of an outlier but its really interesting that it never really got hold in the bigger population centers.
Take a look at this chart.
User Posted Link

Berlin and Hamburg are by far the biggest cities yet have only a very small proportion of the deaths.

Posted By: usacanary on April 24th 2020 at 03:59:50

Message Thread

Reply to Message

In order to add a post to the WotB Message Board you must be a registered WotB user.

If you are not yet registered then please visit the registration page. You should ensure that their browser is setup to accept cookies.

Log in