Hmmmm...
Danone.
Total death rate 0.06% of population? Really?
Italy population - 60 Million so if no intervention at all the total deaths would be 0.06% of 60 million = 36K? Current deaths 20K despite still being in full lockdown and death rate increasing 5K per day.
Spain would end up with 28K deaths. Currently on 17K +3K per day.
I have seen figures of overall untreated CFR in the range 0.5-2.0% which makes a lot more sense to me.
For the UK that would be 300K-12Million dead if we were just to let everyone get infected. With full lockdown we could hopefully get this to below 20-25K.
Posted By: Timmy_Goat on April 13th 2020 at 13:22:55
Message Thread
- Morning herd, are we immune yet? (n/m) (Coronavirus) - MIKEWALKER, Apr 13, 07:40:58
- Bolsonaro and Trump say it's hoax. (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Agatha Fisty, Apr 13, 11:09:23
- Maybe we are almost there interesting article (Coronavirus) - pinkney, Apr 13, 09:33:41
- community testing in Germany apparently in line with UK prediction (Coronavirus) - ede, Apr 13, 14:57:21
- No that's way out from anything I've heard or read.Didn't Merkel (Coronavirus) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Apr 13, 15:02:31
- Hmmmm... (Coronavirus) - Timmy_Goat, Apr 13, 13:22:55
- I thought he was suggesting that most people were infected before the lockdown (Coronavirus) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Apr 13, 13:31:03
- And I suppose we believe what we want to believe,but it suggests (Coronavirus) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Apr 13, 09:49:23
- Yes maybe time will tell but could explain alot of things (n/m) (Coronavirus) - pinkney, Apr 13, 09:59:50
- Nice piece from mr Spock there.🙂 (n/m) (Coronavirus) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Apr 13, 09:45:46
- community testing in Germany apparently in line with UK prediction (Coronavirus) - ede, Apr 13, 14:57:21
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