extremely bad odds

If we assume we need to win 7 out of 7 you could just parlay from one game to the next assuming average odds of 2.0 for each game for simplicity sake.

1 -2
2-4
3-8
4-16
5-32
6-64
7-132

Now in reality draws are no good so our chances of winning each game is less than 50%.
Without looking at every matchup lets assume 45% for each game gives us 0.37% chance of 7 straight wins
or 270 to 1
Given the fact that 6 wins and 1 draw maybe enough you can lower the odds slightly buts still in the 100`s to 1

BTW I am a professional gambler and would happily give anyone odds of 30 to 1 on Norwich getting promoted.
Any takers for as much as you want to lay? ;-)

Posted By: UScanary on March 24th 2006 at 00:48:07

Message Thread

i see we are 14/1 to get promoted.not very generous,140/1 more realistic (n/m) (NCFC) - selwyn, Mar 23, 16:51:28
- extremely bad odds (NCFC) - UScanary, Mar 24, 00:48:07
  - I was about to say you must be from the US (NCFC) - conker, Mar 24, 01:43:00
- Why ? Sounds about right to me. (n/m) (NCFC) - Arganth, Mar 23, 17:06:57
  - we havnt got a chance.any1 who thinks we can do it are kidding themselves (n/m) (NCFC) - selwyn, Mar 23, 17:12:31
    - Well it's lucky you're not the team psychologist or manager... (n/m) (NCFC) - Arganth, Mar 23, 17:16:41
      - That's me (n/m) (NCFC) - pants, Mar 23, 17:35:58
        
        do you bring the traffic cones too? (NCFC) - camcan, Mar 23, 17:44:12
      - Fuck me, well he's not the team psychologist or manager.... (NCFC) - Orlando, Mar 23, 17:24:10
      - Am now starting to suspect you're winding people up on purpose. (NCFC) - Yellow Jersey, Mar 23, 17:21:44
        
        no chance.if people want to delude themselves that we can and that somehow (NCFC) - selwyn, Mar 23, 17:28:21
      - im just a realist! (n/m) (NCFC) - selwyn, Mar 23, 17:17:19

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