So basically score first and you avoid defeat 90% of the time and

our ratio of coming back from conceding first to win seems about bang on with the average of 11.5% cited in that article (being about 5 times out of 46 matches).

Which all fits with the fact that it was killing us last season at the start when we kept making errors to gift the opposition goals from what was often their first attack, something we have been very good at stamping out although I would argue we did it on Saturday with our marking.

Had Pukki scored that chance on Saturday it may well have been a very different game despite the fact we were not at the races for the first 20 minutes.

Posted By: Jim on September 23rd 2019 at 11:38:49

Message Thread

When was the last time we conceded the opening goal and went on to win? (NCFC) - Jim, Sep 23, 10:57:38
- Reading (H) we came from behind to go ahead. Then f***ed it up. (n/m) (NCFC) - mr carra, Sep 23, 11:05:42
- Bristol City home, Forest away (n/m) (NCFC) - trt354, Sep 23, 11:04:03
- Bristol? (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Sep 23, 11:03:16
  - Forest, Villa, Rotherham and Millwall the others (NCFC) - SCC 28, Sep 23, 11:07:35
    - So a few occasions actually then - I stand corrected. Not many in the scond half of (NCFC) - Jim, Sep 23, 11:12:26
      - Also 7 draws after conceding first (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Sep 23, 11:15:48
  - Fair point, forgot that. It still seems to be quite an important factor with this side. i (NCFC) - Jim, Sep 23, 11:05:59
    - Isn't that true for pretty much all sides though? (NCFC) - mr carra, Sep 23, 11:11:33
      - I remember Dyche when he was a Sky pundit saying first goal you don’t lose 70% of the time (NCFC) - APB, Sep 23, 11:15:19
        
        Maybe he said win, it was a while ago. (n/m) (NCFC) - APB, Sep 23, 11:34:16
        
        Having said that, it also means you DO lose 30%. (NCFC) - APB, Sep 23, 11:16:28
        
        So the draw is 0% interesting (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Sep 23, 11:19:38
        
        Ok misread but I see it’s 71% that you (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Sep 23, 11:20:43
        
        win (NCFC) - SCC 28, Sep 23, 11:21:04
        
        Some interesting stats (NCFC) - SCC 28, Sep 23, 11:25:26
        
        So basically score first and you avoid defeat 90% of the time and (NCFC) - Jim, Sep 23, 11:38:49
        
        I’m not convinced we improved dramatically thereafter ... (NCFC) - loz, Sep 23, 11:44:43
        
        Did a blitz and then sat back. (NCFC) - APB, Sep 23, 12:39:28
        
        For bottom 8 teams it’s up to 20% if bottom 4 (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Sep 23, 11:44:05
      - Probably. I've just a;ways felt that under Farke we are generally good at managing (NCFC) - Jim, Sep 23, 11:14:42
        
        so you had an observation that we were good at managing a game when ahead... (NCFC) - mr carra, Sep 23, 11:33:24
        
        It wasn't a criticism more an observation really (n/m) (NCFC) - Jim, Sep 23, 11:34:56
        
        I think most teams have an ability to concede a goal out of nothing (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Sep 23, 11:19:29
        
        We trailed 1-0 and 3-0 to forest (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Sep 23, 11:17:33

Reply to Message

In order to add a post to the WotB Message Board you must be a registered WotB user.

If you are not yet registered then please visit the registration page. You should ensure that their browser is setup to accept cookies.