This is the best bit and why a fit Pukki will keep us up

Of course, any Norwich analysis from the weekend would be completely remiss without a short glance in the direction of the goal machine that is Teemu Pukki. The Finnish striker is the only player to have ever scored in his first two Premier League games. He has 4 goals from 10 shots and probably most impressively, those four goals have come from an expected goals value of 1.09. Expected Goals (xG) is a statistical model that looks to place a value on the quality of chances a team creates or a player has. The value is derived by looking several thousand shots from various locations, assist types and directions and seeing what the outcome was (goal or not).

From Pukki’s chance quality this season, he would be expected to score 1-2 goals (obviously you cannot score 1.09). This may seem insignificant in terms of sample size but Pukki has been outperforming xG for some time. Last season in the Championship, Pukki generated 22.98 Non-penalty expected goals. His return of 29 non-penalty goals was the highest over performance of xG in the whole league. He is a proven, elite finisher; able to take chances with one or two touch finishes whilst the Goalkeeper is still not set. He possesses a high level of intelligence to make the runs he does, is deceptively quick through acceleration phase and has excellent work rate

Posted By: SCC 28 on August 20th 2019 at 08:27:06

Message Thread

Great tactical piece on us and blades ... (NCFC) - loz, Aug 20, 08:19:10
- This is the best bit and why a fit Pukki will keep us up (NCFC) - SCC 28, Aug 20, 08:27:06
  - Will never get ten this season 😂 (n/m) (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Aug 20, 11:45:55
  - The most surprising thing for me from that article is Pukki's expected goals stat (NCFC) - Jim, Aug 20, 08:59:12
    - Maybe this is where fan expectation doesn't correlate with statistical probability (NCFC) - Yellalee, Aug 20, 09:26:22
  - If he gets injured during the season we are not just fucked (NCFC) - ingi, Aug 20, 08:39:57
    - I wonder if they’re preparing Idah as his replacement? (NCFC) - APB, Aug 20, 10:00:24
      - The fact he hasn't gone on loan is telling (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Aug 20, 10:01:49
        
        We need someone to cover for Drmic, who seems like a short term signing. (NCFC) - APB, Aug 20, 10:18:13
    - If long term maybe. Really need Drmic back. What’s the prognosis on him? (n/m) (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Aug 20, 08:51:59
      - Head fell off. Should be fine after surgery (n/m) (NCFC) - jAC, Aug 20, 09:43:17
      - Small hamstring strain (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Aug 20, 09:26:57
      - Back for west ham ? (n/m) (NCFC) - loz, Aug 20, 09:08:59
    - We did manage without him last season (NCFC) - SCC 28, Aug 20, 08:45:48
      - Could be really handy especially... (NCFC) - loz, Aug 20, 08:49:55
        
        Just our style should be attracting people too (NCFC) - SCC 28, Aug 20, 08:52:11
      - True but different opposition and no Rhodes (NCFC) - ingi, Aug 20, 08:49:29
    - Possibly (NCFC) - matt in london, Aug 20, 08:43:09
      - Drmic is quality (NCFC) - duke of york, Aug 20, 09:06:10
      - Need to get him fit and involved as minus Rhodes he could be ... (NCFC) - loz, Aug 20, 08:45:46
  - So important he stays fit as ... (NCFC) - loz, Aug 20, 08:35:54
  - Yep (n/m) (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Aug 20, 08:32:28

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