This is how we get to 40 points

Liverpool (a) L 0
Newcastle (h) W 3
Chelsea (h) L 3
West Ham (a) D 4
Man City (h) L 4
Burnley (a) L 4
Palace (a) D 5
Villa (h) W 8
Bournemouth (a) W 11
Man Utd (h) W 14
Brighton (a) L 14
Watford (h) W 17
Everton (a) L 17
Arsenal (h) L 17
Southampton (a) L 17
Sheff Utd (h) W 20
Leicester (a) L 20
Wolves (h) L 20
Villa (a) L 20
Tottenham (h) L 20
Palace (h) W 23
Man Utd (a) L 23
Bournemouth (h) W 26
Tottenham (a) L 26
Newcastle (a) L 26
Liverpool (h) L 26
Wolves (a) L 26
Leicester (h) D 27
Sheff Utd (a) L 27
Southampton (h) W 30
Everton (h) L 30
Arsenal (a) L 30
Brighton (h) W 33
Watford (a) W 36
West Ham (h) D 37
Chelsea (a) L 37
Burnley (h) W 40
Man City (a) L 40

I know it's all a bit Robert Chase's promotion graph and all that - but I think it's useful as a guide to the sort of total we'll need to be close to at different stages of the season.

I am VERY encouraged by what our run-in looks like: several of those sides might well be on the beach by that point. It reminds me a bit of 2004/5 - I never lost hope because I always felt the run-in would pull us back into contention. And in a different way, but for the same reason, 2001/2 too.

Of course it's gonna be hard. It's gonna be horrendously hard. But we might well not even need 40 points in the end... and no question, we can do it.

Posted By: thebigfeller on June 13th 2019 at 10:00:00

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