Jim, we have been down this road before. Numbers dont lie

Look here.

User Posted Link

You can get as much as 40/1 on a Norwich promotion

Assuming the vigorish built into the market our true odds are probably in the 45 to 50/1. That's around 2% to get promoted.

Lets look at relegation......

User Posted Link

You can get as much as 325/1 on relegation which is around 0.3%

So there is a 2.3% total chance that we will get either relegated or promoted this season.........

User Posted Link

Posted By: usacanary on January 16th 2018 at 18:00:24

Message Thread

the only risk in not selling Madders now (NCFC) - paulg, Jan 16, 17:28:20
- I think 15-20M buys a lot of talent at this level. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 16, 17:30:53
  - but we're not going to be able to utilise it now (NCFC) - paulg, Jan 16, 17:32:16
    - Easy answer.......... (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 16, 17:36:20
      - We could be 3 points off the playoffs on saturday. How is the season "done"? (n/m) (NCFC) - Jim, Jan 16, 17:47:54
        
        Jim, we have been down this road before. Numbers dont lie (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 16, 18:00:24
        
        Wowsers, what a depressing post. (NCFC) - maidstoneyellow, Jan 16, 19:12:51
      - don't agree (NCFC) - paulg, Jan 16, 17:39:45
        
        when you are selling/loaning good players to teams above you.... (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 16, 17:43:44
        
        A striker who hasn't struck. A winger who hasn't crossed. And an escaped goat. (n/m) (NCFC) - Dunney, Jan 16, 18:08:43
        
        yanic ...? (NCFC) - paulg, Jan 16, 17:46:48
        
        Looking at the table....... Warnock is clearly an idiot......... (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 16, 17:51:29
        
        What are you talking about? (NCFC) - paulg, Jan 16, 17:55:47
        
        read this post....... (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 16, 18:01:29
        
        that reads like a load of gibberish (NCFC) - paulg, Jan 16, 18:04:42
        
        Im guessing that's exactly what a thick person would say. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 16, 18:15:15
        
        And I'm guessing (NCFC) - paulg, Jan 16, 21:00:16
        
        Well, thats why you are a thicky............ (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 16, 23:05:43

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