The odds are clearly much less than this though.....

This factors every single permutation and assumes each team has equal chance of randomly finishing in any position... ala a lotto drawing balls.....

Clearly the odds are...... Chelsea and Man City wil not finish in the bottom half of the table...... or even outside the top six.

If I could be arsed... the way I would approach this problem is to use a normal distribution of each teams likely performance and eliminate all results that are likely to be 2-3 standard deviations outside the expected result 95% to 99.7%
With a team like chelsea this might be as bad as 4th to 6th..... thus eliminating 14-16 random postions.... rinse repeat with all teams.

Posted By: usacanary on July 29th 2015 at 13:22:16

Message Thread

Any maths pens able to tell me how many realistic permutations there are of final prem (Other Football) - Adster, Jul 29, 12:15:48
- Use your skill and judgement thuswise. (Other Football) - Old Man, Jul 29, 12:40:15
  - That's the sort of thing I wanted, thanks. (Other Football) - Adster, Jul 29, 12:49:40
    - How much of the ?50 mil prize money will Old Man get? (n/m) (Other Football) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jul 29, 12:50:32
      - Probably none, have you seen the odds!? (n/m) (Other Football) - Adster, Jul 29, 12:53:23
        
        Nope (Other Football) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jul 29, 12:59:32
  - Incidentally if a man in his 40s does the Lottery (Other Football) - Old Man, Jul 29, 12:41:50
- 20! (factorial) or 2.432902e+18 (Other Football) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jul 29, 12:32:59
  - The odds are clearly much less than this though..... (Other Football) - usacanary, Jul 29, 13:22:16
  - ... (Other Football) - Adster, Jul 29, 12:34:33
    - Assign odds to all of the teams and then someone will calculate it for you (Other Football) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jul 29, 12:35:51
- 20x19x18x17x16x15x14x13 etc down to 1 (n/m) (Other Football) - Pit, Jul 29, 12:28:56
  - Yeah but by realistic I meant taking into account the fact that only 4 or 5 teams at most (Other Football) - Adster, Jul 29, 12:31:29
    - I wouldnt bother tbh. The risk is too high and you wont have the capital to fund it. (Other Football) - Pit, Jul 29, 12:35:32
      - I'm not gonna do it I was just interested in whether it will be (Other Football) - Adster, Jul 29, 12:44:59
        
        Your wish is my command..... (Other Football) - usacanary, Jul 29, 13:27:31
        
        Very good motives indeed. Just need WALKER to pitch in with some comments. (n/m) (Other Football) - Pit, Jul 29, 12:49:54
        
        I miss his Wankervision.........PS... I thought MW is AB (n/m) (Other Football) - usacanary, Jul 29, 13:29:02
        
        I am not sure who MW is tbh. AB is certified. (n/m) (Other Football) - Pit, Jul 29, 13:48:40
- Short answer: a lot fucking more than 50m. (Other Football) - Arizona Bay, Jul 29, 12:17:02
  - OK. This is a bit crude, but ... (Other Football) - Arizona Bay, Jul 29, 12:42:35
    - Bloody nora (n/m) (Other Football) - Adster, Jul 29, 12:52:43
      - Bookies/Bicycles. (Other Football) - Arizona Bay, Jul 29, 12:57:03
        
        I can reduce that issue down to my saturday afternoons. (Other Football) - Pit, Jul 29, 13:03:33
    - 2.4 million million million (rounded to the nearest one hundred thousand million million) (n/m) (Other Football) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jul 29, 12:45:43

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