...Which are affected by market swings from pessimistic fans betting against their apparen

tly doomed club. It was bizarre to hear Swansea fans singing 'and now you're gonna believe us' etc when we never considered them one of the teams to drop. They celebrated that win like their Prem status depended on it and they'd just pulled themselves out of the drop zone.

Posted By: DJ Ginga on April 13th 2014 at 07:59:52

Message Thread

updated % chances of relegation (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 13, 07:42:35
- You missed Hull (not that it matters as they're effectively safe) (n/m) (NCFC) - DJ Ginga, Apr 13, 07:49:34
  - Oh and where's that from/how's it calculated? (NCFC) - DJ Ginga, Apr 13, 07:51:07
    - just from the betting odds (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 13, 07:54:17
      - ...Which are affected by market swings from pessimistic fans betting against their apparen (NCFC) - DJ Ginga, Apr 13, 07:59:52
        
        ? (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 13, 08:02:36
        
        ? (NCFC) - DJ Ginga, Apr 13, 08:06:08
        
        never said they were, just the market probability (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 13, 08:07:07
        
        Yeah based on betting not pure stats. (NCFC) - DJ Ginga, Apr 13, 08:08:09
        
        yeah sorry for not using the pure stats (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 13, 08:13:50
        
        So you should be. (n/m) (NCFC) - DJ Ginga, Apr 13, 08:25:32
  - 0.5% so not included (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 13, 07:50:36
    - So why are West Ham & Palace half a percent more likely when they have an extra point? (n/m) (NCFC) - DJ Ginga, Apr 13, 07:51:50
      - no idea sorry (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 13, 07:53:52
        
        because Fulham and Cardiff won (n/m) (NCFC) - phrankin, Apr 13, 08:11:46

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