The straw I'm clutching to
As our away form has lurched from disaster to apocalypse since the turn of the year (in my view, because Hughton's tried to respond to the fans and be positive, but we've looked way too open as a result), our home form has simultaneously picked right up.
17 goals leaked in our last 6 away games - 20 in our last 7 if you include Fulham in the Cup - has contrasted with 1 goal conceded in our last 6 home games: none at all from open play. It's bizarre.
I've seen this sort of thing happen in football before: compare Norwich's Aug-Dec 1993 away form with our home form, for example; or our home form under Worthington with our away form. It's as though doing one thing by necessity at home has an equal but opposite impact away. But it makes the West Brom game ENORMOUS. Very nearly as massive as the one last season.
On this basis, I think we'll beat them, lose all our remaining away matches, and survive by the skin of our teeth by getting something (maybe even a win) v Arsenal on the last day. But even if we do stay up, the year ends in '5' next season. Uh oh.
Posted By: thebigfeller on March 29th 2014 at 20:44:45
Message Thread
- The straw I'm clutching to (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 20:44:45
- I love the juxtaposition of 9/10ths of your post with the last sentence. (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 20:49:53
- Aren't almost all football fans superstitious in some way? And while the year ending in 1 (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 20:53:19
- Honestly? No. Has more to do with our rough place in the pecking order of football than an (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 20:58:25
- I'd love to discover at what point you'd change that view - after we're relegated in 2025, (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:00:56
- Haha. Let's stick around and find out. (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 21:05:04
- In 2011, Spurs reached the European Cup quarter-finals. ;) (n/m) (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:08:10
- You're like a punter in a fortune teller's tent. (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 21:10:24
- :D Always looking for patterns and parallels, me. And prone to confirmation bias too :) (n/m) (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:11:59
- if the omens say that we only get relegated from the top league in a '5 year (NCFC) - Mecagoenti, Mar 29, 21:13:33
- Ha! (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 21:16:38
- Excellent point! Answer: because I'm a pessimist. (n/m) (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:15:34
- But if we stay up this year AND we stay up next year, hopefully that'll finally change (n/m) (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:16:07
- if the omens say that we only get relegated from the top league in a '5 year (NCFC) - Mecagoenti, Mar 29, 21:13:33
- :D Always looking for patterns and parallels, me. And prone to confirmation bias too :) (n/m) (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:11:59
- You're like a punter in a fortune teller's tent. (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 21:10:24
- In 2011, Spurs reached the European Cup quarter-finals. ;) (n/m) (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:08:10
- the word 'coincidence' was invented for a reason (n/m) (NCFC) - Mecagoenti, Mar 29, 21:02:38
- Disagree. I think there's something in numerology, for example. (n/m) (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:03:50
- are you ok? (n/m) (NCFC) - Huge Small, Mar 29, 21:06:09
- no (n/m) (NCFC) - Charles21, Mar 29, 21:04:31
- Yes. :) So many people dismiss what they're not willing to try and understand (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:05:53
- you mean science does not *yet* explain everything. But it will eventually (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Mar 30, 00:09:53
- Well this is far more interesting than discussing the football... (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 21:08:36
- I dismiss nonsense (NCFC) - Charles21, Mar 29, 21:08:36
- Well then you're arrogant. Disgracefully so, given the massive number of people who have (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:10:28
- I wouldn't call it arrogant, just entitled to my view (NCFC) - Charles21, Mar 29, 21:14:53
- It's not faith that science tries to disprove (or indeed disproves) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 21:12:23
- Depends on what you mean. People have faith in all sorts of things; people have very (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:14:38
- True. But equally we know just because a majority think it's true, doesn't mean it is. (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 21:18:18
- But of course I agree here too. I'm not anti-science or anti-reason at all (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:21:07
- Yep, with you on that (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 21:22:58
- But of course I agree here too. I'm not anti-science or anti-reason at all (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:21:07
- oh no (n/m) (NCFC) - Huge Small, Mar 29, 21:17:28
- True. But equally we know just because a majority think it's true, doesn't mean it is. (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 21:18:18
- Depends on what you mean. People have faith in all sorts of things; people have very (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:14:38
- Well then you're arrogant. Disgracefully so, given the massive number of people who have (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:10:28
- uh oh (n/m) (NCFC) - Huge Small, Mar 29, 21:08:13
- are you ok? (n/m) (NCFC) - Charles21, Mar 29, 21:18:05
- uh oh (n/m) (NCFC) - Huge Small, Mar 29, 21:07:56
- Yes. :) So many people dismiss what they're not willing to try and understand (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:05:53
- Disagree. I think there's something in numerology, for example. (n/m) (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:03:50
- Haha. Let's stick around and find out. (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 21:05:04
- I'd love to discover at what point you'd change that view - after we're relegated in 2025, (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 21:00:56
- Honestly? No. Has more to do with our rough place in the pecking order of football than an (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 20:58:25
- Aren't almost all football fans superstitious in some way? And while the year ending in 1 (NCFC) - thebigfeller, Mar 29, 20:53:19
- I love the juxtaposition of 9/10ths of your post with the last sentence. (NCFC) - Yellalee, Mar 29, 20:49:53
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