More or less how most bookies set betting odds.
My Predictions
If the game was played 10,000 times what would be the % of W L D for that game.
From that you can calculate the PPG
The TOT Predictions are just current seasonal form PPG multipled by remaining games and added to the current points total.
It doesn't look at who the opponents are or where they are playing.
It doesnt do a great job of individual team predictions but is pretty solid in predicting relegation points needed as the average of the teams will often cancel.
If you take a block of 6 teams that are s**t with 15 games to go. Its pretty likley that the block will remain s**t until the end of the season.
Some will do better, some worse but overall they will gain the points predicted.
Posted By: usacanary on April 22nd 2013 at 14:50:07
Message Thread
- Prediction Table of Tilt and USAcanary computer predictions. (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 22, 00:45:41
- I don't understand it, (NCFC) - I Am Hoot, Apr 22, 02:04:03
- A linear extrapolation of actuarial assumptions. (NCFC) - tudders, Apr 22, 05:32:03
- More or less how most bookies set betting odds. (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 22, 14:50:07
- ah ok. (n/m) (NCFC) - I Am Hoot, Apr 22, 08:02:20
- and what do points mean? (n/m) (NCFC) - StraightOuttaBacton, Apr 22, 06:38:49
- Prizes! (n/m) (NCFC) - Chris Peacock, Apr 22, 07:42:11
- Good game....... Good game........ (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 22, 14:50:29
- Prizes! (n/m) (NCFC) - Chris Peacock, Apr 22, 07:42:11
- Points per game multiplied by a factor of tilt. (n/m) (NCFC) - Chris Peacock, Apr 22, 02:15:32
- A linear extrapolation of actuarial assumptions. (NCFC) - tudders, Apr 22, 05:32:03
- I don't understand it, (NCFC) - I Am Hoot, Apr 22, 02:04:03
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