The Squeaky Bum prediction Table of Tilt

Its a funny old game saint!

Based on current season form we get

Fulham 48
west ham 45
Southapton 44
Newcastle 41
Norwich 40
Stoke 39
Sunderland 39
Aston Villa 39
wigan 38
Reading 28
QPR 28

wigan relegated with 38 points but........

Using actual computer strength of schedule numbers and estimated market betting lines for each game we get the following

Fulham 46
Southapton 42.8
west ham 42.5
Newcastle 40.9
Norwich 40.4
Sunderland 39.3
Stoke 39.2
Aston Villa 38.6
wigan 37
Reading 28.6
QPR 28.5

Wigan get relegated with 37 points we finish 14th with 40 points

or if you like rounding

Fulham 46
Southapton 43
west ham 43
Newcastle 41
Norwich 40
Sunderland 39
Stoke 39
Aston Villa 39
wigan 37
Reading 29
QPR 29

Interestingly (or maybe not) I have us 2 points ahead of predicted pace I calculated at the start of the season.

Interestingly here is a my prediction before the season started.

User Posted Link

The bit about Hoots and Lambert has pretty much come home to roost.

December 3rd after a decent run.

User Posted Link

We are where we probably deserve to be, maybe a little bit ahead in terms of points.

Posted By: usacanary on April 15th 2013 at 05:30:31

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