Seriously then. Let's say we get one more win and nothing else. Or three draws. I'd say

that's about realistic even for the negative amongst us isn't it ?

So here's what would have to happen for us to get relegated.

Reading - 6 games, 15 points (they would clearly overtake us on GD if they managed that!). Nigh on impossible
QPR - 7 games, 15 points (same). With less than a point a game so far, very very unlikely. I'd say no threat beyond a miracle.

So I think we're agreed we're not going to fall beneath those two.

Who's left ?

Wigan, 8 points in 8 games. Would again overtake us on GD. Now, that's not really so unlikely is it ?
Sunderland, 7 points in 7 games. Less likely with their run in and form, but that's a couple of jammy wins and a draw. Not exactly impossible.

Villa, 5 points in 6 games and to improve their GD, or 6 points. With their current form and the fact they play us, not at all unlikely.

Newcastle, 5 points in 7 games. I would be shocked if they didn't. So very likely.

Stoke, 4 points in 6 games. Again, would be surprised if they didn't manage.

So basically if we win only one game or draw only 1, I think it is a lottery between us, Wigan and Sunderland. That leads me to believe that we need 40 points or even 41. Because if we manage 41 our goal difference will possibly beat those just beneath us.

Could be wrong, but that's why I am s**tting it.

Posted By: Steve in Holland on April 6th 2013 at 17:45:05

Message Thread

Seriously then. Let's say we get one more win and nothing else. Or three draws. I'd say (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Apr 6, 17:45:05
- sunderland? (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 6, 17:49:49
  - Yes. Like Geordies but red stripes. (n/m) (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Apr 6, 17:53:40
- If we draw 3 or only win 1 we'll be relegated (n/m) (NCFC) - Duck, Apr 6, 17:47:49
  - that would probably involve Wigan beating Villa last day (NCFC) - Brandonio, Apr 6, 17:50:33
  - That's my opinion (n/m) (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Apr 6, 17:49:10
    - I agree. Unfortunately 2 of our rivals have Fulham at home coming up (NCFC) - Jim, Apr 6, 17:54:32
      - all down to Reading and WBA, failure to get 4pts from those two (NCFC) - Brandonio, Apr 6, 17:56:54
        
        We need 6 points (n/m) (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Apr 6, 17:58:26
  - disagree (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 6, 17:48:49
    - How can you disagree? (NCFC) - Duck, Apr 6, 17:50:08
      - means sunderland need 6 points from 7 after no win in 8 (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 6, 17:54:39
        
        Two wins is hardly impossible (n/m) (NCFC) - Duck, Apr 6, 17:55:41
        
        agreed but not likely either imo (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 6, 17:57:58
        
        Di Canio factor (NCFC) - Duck, Apr 6, 17:59:58
        
        yes but that scenario also involves worse form than we currently show (n/m) (NCFC) - Brandonio, Apr 6, 18:01:06
    - disagree with your disagreement (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Apr 6, 17:49:27
- *draw 3* (n/m) (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Apr 6, 17:46:35

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