Betting Odds and probabilities on Norwich vs Spurs breakdown.
Current average spread is roughly.
Norwich 4/1 (5.0) (20%)
Spurs 4/5 (1.8) (55%)
Draw 11/4 (3.75) (25%)
If we assume these probabilities to be roughly correct we get the following.
Norwich 0.85 points (20% win, 25% draw, 55% loss)
Spurs 1.90 points (55% win, 25% draw, 20% loss)
Assuming the market to be reasonably efficient, a draw would be a good result.
Posted By: usacanary on December 24th 2011 at 06:45:17
Message Thread
- Playing the diamond vs Spurs would seem unwise. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 24, 06:18:10
- Betting Odds and probabilities on Norwich vs Spurs breakdown. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 24, 06:45:17
- Right, but who gets the other 0.25%. Is it Newcastle? (NCFC) - mike_the_sphinx, Dec 24, 07:32:25
- Points, but Brom knew. (n/m) (NCFC) - mike_the_sphinx, Dec 24, 07:33:15
- Only 2 points are handed out in a draw. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 24, 16:54:53
- Points, but Brom knew. (n/m) (NCFC) - mike_the_sphinx, Dec 24, 07:33:15
- That's great, thanks a lot. (n/m) (NCFC) - tudders, Dec 24, 06:48:50
- Right, but who gets the other 0.25%. Is it Newcastle? (NCFC) - mike_the_sphinx, Dec 24, 07:32:25
- Betting Odds and probabilities on Norwich vs Spurs breakdown. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 24, 06:45:17
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