Are Leicester crazy with all their spending?...... I say NO!

I have been looking at the numbers and the risk reward.

Lets say they spend 20-30 million NET (probably 15 million+ more than anyone else) and it gives them 80% chance of promotion.

When the Thai owners took over the club in 2010 it was valued on the basis of 39 million overall

As we have seen by the recent report of 100 million of 69% of QPR the value of the club goes through the roof when you hit the EPL

So for a 20-30 million investment

They would get a 100 million value boost of the club.
They would also get a min of 90 million in PL payments which is the major reason a clubs value is boosted.

Doesnt look so crazy if you give yourself 60-80% chance of getting promotion!

Their whole strategy is NOT long term.

They want to get promoted NOW which is why they probably inquired about Holt.
They see him as the prefect option NOW at a quarter of the price of Shane Long.

Its interesting that McNally didnt deny there had been an offer for Holt.
He just said we havnt accepted a bid for Holt.

Posted By: usacanary on August 5th 2011 at 15:04:00

Message Thread

Are Leicester crazy with all their spending?...... I say NO! (Other Football) - usacanary, Aug 5, 15:04:00
- what did you have for lunch? (n/m) (Other Football) - Cheltenham_Canary, Aug 5, 15:29:18
  - these guys ↓↓↓↓↓↓↓↓↓↓↓↓U (n/m) (Other Football) - usacanary, Aug 5, 15:59:00
- Fuck im good..........Here come all the Usual Suspects......... (Other Football) - usacanary, Aug 5, 15:16:49
  - Howdy. (n/m) (Other Football) - KeyserSoze, Aug 5, 15:27:08
  - I would be impressed if you did all this as a windup. (Other Football) - lurd, Aug 5, 15:19:25
    - Huh? I post something stats related and the usual suspects bite every time? (Other Football) - usacanary, Aug 5, 15:27:45
  - When proved completely wrong, go down the tilt route and post this picture (Other Football) - Brandonio, Aug 5, 15:18:04
    - lol (n/m) (Other Football) - N1fty5iftyCity, Aug 5, 15:20:05
- i think they only have a 78.56 chance of promotion (Other Football) - earlydoors, Aug 5, 15:13:29
- WOW nice ANALYSIS (Other Football) - lurd, Aug 5, 15:12:41
  - lol (n/m) (Other Football) - Steve in Holland, Aug 5, 15:13:38
- Thanks. (n/m) (Other Football) - Arizona Bay, Aug 5, 15:12:21
- The numbers don't lie (Other Football) - King, Aug 5, 15:11:35
  - If the numbers do lie, you can just make up some new ones you're happier with. (Other Football) - Arizona Bay, Aug 5, 15:13:19
    - The problem is if Leicester do go up, he will bring this post up to prove how right he was (n/m) (Other Football) - Brandonio, Aug 5, 15:18:37
      - Im always right anyway, its about time you tilterz just admitted that. (n/m) (Other Football) - usacanary, Aug 5, 15:30:34
    - Sounds like my GCSE biology coursework (n/m) (Other Football) - King, Aug 5, 15:17:42
- Where did you get the figure of an "80% chance of promotion" from? (n/m) (Other Football) - N1fty5iftyCity, Aug 5, 15:08:21
- I love that. Make up an "80% chance of promotion" and base lots of words on that premise. (n/m) (Other Football) - Steve in Holland, Aug 5, 15:06:55
  - Ok change it to 40%........ still not crazy........... (n/m) (Other Football) - usacanary, Aug 5, 15:13:53
    - You're gonna have to refactor the numbers now, big man. (n/m) (Other Football) - Steve in Holland, Aug 5, 15:15:57
      - More data = more monkey tilt (Other Football) - usacanary, Aug 5, 15:22:04

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