The advantage of playing 2nd
I have read opinions that Cardiff have an edge on Norwich because they get to play first and put pressure on us.
That sounds crazy.
As any poker player knows there is a inherent advantage in deciding what to do after your opponent has acted (being on the dealer BTN)
This is strategically intuitive.
If Cardiff win, we know we have to win.
A draw gains us little, A loss is almost the same value as a draw so you can plan accordingly
If Cardiff draws, a win would be huge but...... a draw would be just as huge ........especially knowing we have Coventry at home. (and cardiff has a tough away game which they have to win)
Later in the game you might not gamble as much on going for a win knowing a draw is great result but a loss is f**king disaster.
If Cardiff loses.......You now know you only need 1 win from the last 2 games.
A loss isnt a total disaster, A win is obvioulsy magnificent but a draw doesnt really change much for the coventry game (cardiff still have to win and we have to lose/draw)
Assuming equal GD, they would overtake us.
It should be obvious that subtle differences in approach should be taken depending on the situation.
In certain spots Lambert has gone 3 along the back with 5 strikers.....to go for it.
Against NF he brought on Lappin and Rob Edwards to hold on to what we had.
I just dont understand those who think its somehow a disadvantage to play last?
Posted By: usacanary on April 29th 2011 at 19:57:21
Message Thread
- The advantage of playing 2nd (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 19:57:21
- why does a draw gain us little? (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:02:09
- In what senario? (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:04:05
- i stopped reading after... (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:07:50
- I stopped reading after seeing who posted it (n/m) (NCFC) - jarroldstander, Apr 29, 20:22:50
- Ouch..... that hurt..... from a username with 5 total posts. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:29:36
- i sense a meltdowwwwwwwwwwwwwwwn (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:30:04
- posting facts = meltdown? (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:31:32
- you said a draw is like a loss if they win (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:32:59
- Sorry, I stopped reading before that........ (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:49:25
- another comprehensive win for SCC (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:50:54
- yep. (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:53:02
- EASY EASY EASY EASY EASY EASY EASY EASY EASY EASY EASY EASY (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 21:00:21
- yep. (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:53:02
- another comprehensive win for SCC (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:50:54
- Sorry, I stopped reading before that........ (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:49:25
- you said a draw is like a loss if they win (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:32:59
- posting facts = meltdown? (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:31:32
- i sense a meltdowwwwwwwwwwwwwwwn (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:30:04
- Ouch..... that hurt..... from a username with 5 total posts. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:29:36
- actually if they win and we draw (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:12:38
- OK, so you fucked up....fair enough. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:11:03
- i think we both did now tbf (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:13:06
- unless the loss and win tomorrow are both by 1 goal (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:19:14
- To be totally fair............just one of us did. (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:17:45
- tbf you wrote it very poorly (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:20:04
- American cowboy Proverb (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:27:46
- so you have no comment about the draw if they win scenario? (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:29:32
- ^^^^ monkey tilt time......... (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:30:23
- from your post further up, i'd agree! (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:31:04
- ^^^^ monkey tilt time......... (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:30:23
- so you have no comment about the draw if they win scenario? (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:29:32
- American cowboy Proverb (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:27:46
- tbf you wrote it very poorly (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:20:04
- i think we both did now tbf (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:13:06
- I stopped reading after seeing who posted it (n/m) (NCFC) - jarroldstander, Apr 29, 20:22:50
- i stopped reading after... (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:07:50
- it also means 4 points and we're up (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:03:34
- i stopped reading after that (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:05:00
- ^^^ translation....... I fucked up..... lets gloss over that. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:07:31
- what's going on? (n/m) (NCFC) - Huge 5mal1, Apr 29, 20:09:19
- we're gonna win the league (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:09:49
- what's going on? (n/m) (NCFC) - Huge 5mal1, Apr 29, 20:09:19
- ^^^ translation....... I fucked up..... lets gloss over that. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:07:31
- i stopped reading after that (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:05:00
- In what senario? (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 29, 20:04:05
- completely agree (n/m) (NCFC) - Steve, Apr 29, 20:02:05
- how`s this for a scenario? (NCFC) - emmaroyds, Apr 29, 20:21:34
- why does a draw gain us little? (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 29, 20:02:09
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