Don't understand the maths used further down the board...

Can't see how they've come to ten points to guarantee promotion.

7 games left = 21 points
Swindon 2nd on 73
Millwall 3rd on 72
Forgetting that they have to play each other on the last day*, the most they can get is 94 & 93.
We're on 82 so 4 more wins puts us on 94 and guaranteed promotion, and if we win our next four then just a point against Gillingham would mean we don't have to wait a couple more games for the unrealistic overtaking of our goal difference, hence mathmatically guaranteeing the title.

Yeah, we may not need as much, but looking at ours, Swindon's & Millwall's next four games, they're all winable, so maybe we will.

Swindon:
Tranmere h
Colchester a - only serious doubt, but not really with Col U's form
Exeter h
Walsall h

Millwall:
Colchester a - again can't see Col U troubling
Gillingham h
Yeovil a
Huddersfield a - would expect Col U to be well out of it by this game, so less pressure on Hudders to get result

*S94 & M90 if Swindon won; the most Leeds & Charlton can get is 92 (but again they have to play each other and Charlton us) - S91 & M93 if Millwall win - S92 & M91 if they draw.

Leeds 92 & Charlton 89 if Leeds win - L89 C92 if C win - L90 & C 90 if a draw.

Charlton 89 if we beat them, 90 if we draw.
If both us and L beat Char C86 - two draws C88 - us/Leeds win & draw other C87 - C win one and draw other C90 - C win won lose other C89 - C win both C92.

Pain in the bum all these combinations, but still four wins and they mean nothing.

Al least there's only these that matter:
4 games time - Charlton vs Us
6 games time - Charlton vs Leeds
7 games time - Millwall vs Swindon

Posted By: DJ Ginga on April 3rd 2010 at 23:46:10

Message Thread

Don't understand the maths used further down the board... (NCFC) - DJ Ginga, Apr 3, 23:46:10
- with a quick scan of the table (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 3, 23:50:20
  - our gd (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 3, 23:50:33
    - ...and we are 10 better than the nearest rival on that front, who is 10 pts behind (n/m) (NCFC) - conker, Apr 3, 23:53:37
      - which is irrelevant when working out when we are guaranteed promotion (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 3, 23:55:29
    - is worth an extra point (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 3, 23:53:34
      - My prediction (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 3, 23:55:21
        
        win our next 2 and a win at orient should see us celebrating (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 3, 23:56:07
        
        You fucking hope so, what happens if it isnt at Orient? Are you going to complain? (n/m) (NCFC) - conker, Apr 3, 23:57:54
        
        calm down, sweary Mary (n/m) (NCFC) - Huge Small, Apr 3, 23:59:03
        
        Big little (n/m) (NCFC) - conker, Apr 3, 23:59:31
        
        too right (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 3, 23:58:54
      - yes if it remains better (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 3, 23:54:55
        
        I'm sticking with 90 points will get us promoted (NCFC) - conker, Apr 3, 23:56:53
        
        90 points is a certainty for top 2 (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 3, 23:59:47
        
        "If's and but's dont" (NCFC) - usacanary, Apr 3, 23:56:53
        
        that doesn't guarantee promotion (NCFC) - SCC 28, Apr 3, 23:58:21
        
        Thank you - that was the point; when we're MATHEMATICALLY up and MATHEMATICALLY champions. (NCFC) - DJ Ginga, Apr 4, 00:03:05

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