Just been studying our rivals' run-in...

...totting up how many remaining games they have against top (9) and lower (11) halves, home and away. I then ranked them by total lower half (lh) home games, then tot lh home & away.

Where I needed an additional decider, midweeks (mw) came into play or whether a team was already in the relegation zone(rz) or had points on the board.
I did this with Villa (virtually safe, vs) over Fulham (rz) (even though Villa have an extra midweek away game against a top half side).
Also with us over Cardiff (rz), the extra 4 points being the only difference in our run-ins.
I put West Ham over Swansea purely on the swing of top half games being weighted in home favour, despite having one more midweek to play.
Hull's additional FA Cup semi vs League One's Sheffield Utd would've been used against them but 6 games vs lh outweighed Stoke's (vs) 5.

Best run-in down to worst:-

Sunderland

4 lh home (inc 1 mw)
1 lh away

1 th home
5 th away (inc 2 mw)

West Brom

3 lh home (inc 1 mw)
3 lh away

1 th home
2 th away

Villa

3 lh home
2 lh away

1 th home
3 th away (inc 1 mw)

Fulham

3 lh home
2 lh away

1 th home
2 th away

Hull

2 lh home
4 lh away (inc 1 mw)

2 th home
1 th away (mw)

+ FA Cup semi vs L1 Sheff Utd

Stoke

2 lh home
3 lh away

2 th home
1 th away

Norwich

2 lh home
2 lh away

2 th home
2 th away

Cardiff

2 lh home
2 lh away

2 th home
2 th away

West Ham

2 lh home (inc 1 mw)
2 lh away

3 th home
2 th away (inc 1 mw)

Swansea

2 lh home
2 lh away

2 th home
3 th away (inc 1 mw)

Palace

1 lh home
3 lh away

3 th home
2 th away (inc 1 mw)

Posted By: DJ Ginga on March 17th 2014 at 02:08:10

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