updated final predictions based on current seasonal form

Good result today, need a few more draws while we win......Its getting tighter.

I still predict it will take around 83 points to take the 2nd automatic promotion spot, no more than 85, no less than 80........

Currently the prediction table shows it will take 77 to make the playoffs.
This wont be true IMHO for a number of reasons that should be obvious........
One or more of the teams will fall away.......always happens every year.
As we get towards the end of the season, some of the playoff teams will have a spot locked up but have no shot at auto promotion..........
It would make sense to rest players in basically meaningless end of season games.
Plus why would you play hard and risk injuries/sendings off........
I still think 73-75 points will get you 6th spot this year.
Meaning we only probably need 6 more wins (plus a draw or two) to make the playoffs.

If we want to get auto promoted, 9 more wins is the mark (plus a few draws)......10 more wins and its almost a lock........11 wins for the title.........

Team/points/points per game

QPR /89/ 1.93
NF /84/1.83
Cardiff/83/1.8
Norwich /80/1.74
Swansea/79/1.71
Leeds/77/1.68
Leicester/71/1.55
Burnley/70/1.53
Millwall /68/1.48
Watford/68/1.48
Hull/67/1.45
Reading/64/1.4

Posted By: usacanary on February 13th 2011 at 17:50:58


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