**Boring stats warning**

Had a quiet lunchtime so thought I'd do a bit of research.

In the last ten seasons the top three sides in League One (and it's previous iterations) have finished with the following number of points:

-----------------------Points
Year-----1st---2nd--3rd
99-00 -- 91 -- 88 -- 85
00-01 -- 93 -- 84 -- 83
01-02 -- 90 -- 84 -- 83
02-03 - 100 - 86 -- 83
03-04 -- 90 -- 83 -- 82
04-05 -- 98 -- 86 -- 79
05-06 -- 82 -- 79 -- 76
06-07 -- 91 -- 85 -- 83
07-08 -- 92 -- 82 -- 80
08-09 -- 96 -- 89 -- 87

Which gives on average:

------Points
1st-----2nd----3rd
92.3 - 85.3 - 82.4

Given that we currently have 66 points from 31 games, we have 15 games left to score:

27 points to exceed an average 1st place finish - 1.80ppg
20 points for an average 2nd place finish - 1.33ppg
and 17 points or more to exceed an average 3rd place finish - 1.13ppg

The highest number of points required in the last ten years to acheive a top two finish is 89, so 24 points to exceed that would be 1.6ppg.

Basically, we're going up cos 8 of our last 15 games are against lower-half teams so that could equate 24 points there and then.

P.S. BLT on brown bread with fruit salad, quavers and a Tropicana.

Posted By: Dog on February 15th 2010 at 14:49:12

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